The Northwest Vermont REALTOR® Association (NVRA) has released its market statistics for July 2022. The information is derived from data contained in the New England Real Estate Network and covers Chittenden, Franklin and Grand Isle Counties.

The U.S. housing market has continued to cool, as rising mortgage rates and record-high sales prices have stifled affordability, weakening demand and pricing out a multitude of buyers. Nationally, median household income has failed to keep pace with increasing mortgage payments, with the costs of buying a home about 80% more expensive now than they were just three summers ago, according to the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR). As more and more prospective buyers find their home purchase plans delayed, many are turning to the rental market, where competition has intensified due to increased demand.

New Listings decreased 32.5 percent for single-family homes and 41.7 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Pending Sales decreased 30.0 percent for single-family homes and 30.1 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Inventory decreased 22.4 percent for single-family homes and 49.3 percent for townhouse-condo properties.

The Median Sales Price was up 9.3 percent to $437,000 for single-family homes and 24.3 percent to $360,500 for townhouse-condo properties. Days on Market decreased 48.0 percent for single-family homes but increased 69.2 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Months Supply of Inventory decreased 11.1 percent for single-family homes and 36.4 percent for townhouse-condo properties.

At a time of year when homebuying activity is typically very strong, soaring homeownership costs have caused home sales to decline nationwide for the fifth consecutive month, with existing-home sales falling 5.4% month-to-month and 14.2% year-over-year as of last measure, according to NAR. But there is a bright spot. Inventory of existing homes has continued to climb this summer, with 1.26 million homes available at the beginning of July, equivalent to a 3 months’ supply. And despite the summer slowdown, homes are still selling quickly, with the typical home staying on market an average of 14 days.

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Rising inflation, soaring home prices, and increased mortgage interest rates have combined to cause a slowdown in the U.S. housing market. To help quell inflation, which reached 8.6% as of last measure in May, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by three quarters of a percentage point in June, the largest interest rate hike since 1994. Higher prices, coupled with 30-year fixed mortgage rates approaching 6%, have exacerbated affordability challenges and rapidly cooled demand, with home sales and mortgage applications falling sharply from a year ago.

New Listings decreased 11.8 percent for single-family homes and 20.4 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Pending Sales decreased 19.6 percent for single-family homes and 9.0 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Inventory decreased 22.3 percent for single-family homes and 38.5 percent for townhouse-condo properties.

The Median Sales Price was up 19.5 percent to $460,000 for single-family homes and 23.3 percent to $357,555 for townhouse-condo properties. Days on Market decreased 47.8 percent for single-family homes and 41.4 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Months Supply of Inventory decreased 12.5 percent for single-family homes and 33.3 percent for townhouse-condo properties.

With monthly mortgage payments up more than 50% compared to this time last year, the rising costs of homeownership have sidelined many prospective buyers. Nationally, the median sales price of existing homes recently exceeded $400,000 for the first time ever, a 15% increase from the same period a year ago, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. As existing home sales continue to soften nationwide, housing supply is slowly improving, with inventory up for the second straight month. In time, price growth is expected to moderate as supply grows; for now, however, inventory remains low, and buyers are feeling the squeeze of higher prices all around.

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After two years of record-setting activity, there are signs the housing market might be cooling. High home prices and a surge in mortgage interest rates are slowing buyer activity, with home sales declining for the third consecutive month under the weight of soaring homeownership costs. The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) reports existing home sales were down 2.4% from the previous month, while pending sales fell 3.9% as of last measure, extending the trend of recent months. Economists predict sales will continue to soften in the near future, which may put downward pressure on home prices.

New Listings decreased 6.7 percent for single-family homes but increased 17.9 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Pending Sales remained flat for single-family properties but increased 20.8 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Inventory decreased 35.8 percent for single-family homes and 28.3 percent for townhouse-condo properties. The Median Sales Price was up 15.8 percent to $439,950 for single-family homes and 26.7 percent to $332,500 for townhouse-condo properties. Days on Market decreased 29.0 percent for single-family homes and 50.0 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Months Supply of Inventory decreased 28.6 percent for single-family homes and 25.0 percent for townhouse-condo properties.

The slowdown in sales has provided a much-needed lift to housing supply, with inventory up 10.8% from the previous month according to NAR, although supply remains down 10.4% compared to this time last year, with only 2.2 months’ supply of homes at the current sales pace. As the nation continues to explore ways to solve the ongoing housing shortage, estimated at 5.5 million homes, the Biden administration recently unveiled the Housing Supply Action Plan, which aims to expand housing access through a number of administrative and legislative actions and help relieve the nation’s housing crisis over the next 5 years.

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The average 30-year fixed rate mortgage exceeded 5% in April, the highest level since 2011, according to Freddie Mac. The recent surge in mortgage rates has reduced the pool of eligible buyers and has caused mortgage applications to decline, with a significant impact on refinance applications, which are down more than 70% compared to this time last year. As the rising costs of homeownership force many Americans to adjust their budgets, an increasing number of buyers are hoping to help offset the costs by moving from bigger, more expensive cities to smaller areas that offer a more affordable cost of living.

New Listings decreased 27.2 percent for single-family homes but remained flat for townhouse-condo properties. Pending Sales decreased 19.7 percent for single-family homes but increased 34.4 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Inventory decreased 40.7 percent for single-family homes and 48.6 percent for townhouse-condo properties.

The Median Sales Price was up 21.8 percent to $432,250 for single-family homes and 26.4 percent to $350,000 for townhouse-condo properties. Days on Market decreased 41.7 percent for single-family homes and 48.9 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Months Supply of Inventory decreased 30.8 percent for single-family homes and 45.5 percent for townhouse-condo properties.Affordability challenges are limiting buying activity, and early signs suggest competition for homes may be cooling somewhat.

Nationally, existing home sales are down 2.7% as of last measure, while pending sales dropped 1.2%, marking 5 straight months of under contract declines, according to the National Association of REALTORS^®. Inventory remains low, with only 2 months supply at present, and home prices continue to rise, with the median existing home at $373,500, a 15% increase from this time last year. Homes are still selling quickly, however, and multiple offers are common in many markets.

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Nationally, existing home sales recently dropped to a 6-month low, falling 7.2% as buyers struggled to find a home amid rising prices and historic low inventory. Pending sales are also down, declining 4.1% as of last measure, according to the National Association of REALTORS^®. Builders are working hard to ramp up production—the U.S. Census Bureau reports housing starts are up 22.3% compared to a year ago—but higher construction costs and increasing sales prices continue to hamper new home sales, despite high demand for additional supply.

New Listings decreased 12.7 percent for single-family homes and 12.5 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Pending Sales decreased 7.7 percent for single-family homes and 21.9 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Inventory decreased 38.2 percent for single-family homes and 33.3 percent for townhouse-condo properties. The Median Sales Price was up 20.7 percent to $420,000 for single-family homes and 21.0 percent to $337,500 for townhouse-condo properties. Days on Market decreased 26.3 percent for single-family homes but increased 14.8 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Months Supply of Inventory decreased 38.5 percent for single-family homes and 25.0 percent for townhouse-condo properties.

Across the country, consumers are feeling the bite of inflation and surging mortgage interest rates, which recently hit 4.6% in March, according to Freddie Mac, rising 1.4 percent since January and the highest rate in more than 3 years. Monthly payments have increased significantly compared to this time last year, and as housing affordability declines, an increasing number of would-be homebuyers are turning to the rental market, only to face similar challenges as rental prices skyrocket and vacancy rates remain at near-record low.

Wondering what your home is worth in your current market? Get a free market analysis today!