After two years of record-setting activity, there are signs the housing market might be cooling. High home prices and a surge in mortgage interest rates are slowing buyer activity, with home sales declining for the third consecutive month under the weight of soaring homeownership costs. The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) reports existing home sales were down 2.4% from the previous month, while pending sales fell 3.9% as of last measure, extending the trend of recent months. Economists predict sales will continue to soften in the near future, which may put downward pressure on home prices.

New Listings decreased 6.7 percent for single-family homes but increased 17.9 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Pending Sales remained flat for single-family properties but increased 20.8 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Inventory decreased 35.8 percent for single-family homes and 28.3 percent for townhouse-condo properties. The Median Sales Price was up 15.8 percent to $439,950 for single-family homes and 26.7 percent to $332,500 for townhouse-condo properties. Days on Market decreased 29.0 percent for single-family homes and 50.0 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Months Supply of Inventory decreased 28.6 percent for single-family homes and 25.0 percent for townhouse-condo properties.

The slowdown in sales has provided a much-needed lift to housing supply, with inventory up 10.8% from the previous month according to NAR, although supply remains down 10.4% compared to this time last year, with only 2.2 months’ supply of homes at the current sales pace. As the nation continues to explore ways to solve the ongoing housing shortage, estimated at 5.5 million homes, the Biden administration recently unveiled the Housing Supply Action Plan, which aims to expand housing access through a number of administrative and legislative actions and help relieve the nation’s housing crisis over the next 5 years.

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The economy is improving, unemployment is falling, and the U.S. real estate market remains strong as we head into the holiday season, a period when activity typically slows as people take time to travel, celebrate, and spend time with loved ones. Although the market is not as frenetic as was seen earlier this year, buyer demand is high, bolstered by attractive mortgage rates and a low supply of inventory.

New Listings increased 6.1 percent for single-family homes but decreased 4.5 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Pending Sales increased 11.7 percent for single-family homes but decreased 10.4 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Inventory decreased 45.6 percent for single-family homes and 44.8 percent for townhouse-condo properties.

The Median Sales Price was up 15.8 percent to $415,000 for single-family homes and 7.0 percent to $276,000 for townhouse-condo properties. Days on Market decreased 20.5 percent for single-family homes and 44.4 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Months Supply of Inventory decreased 47.4 percent for single-family homes and 40.0 percent for townhouse-condo properties.

The most recent data from the National Association of REALTORS® reports the median single-family existing home sales price rose 16% in the third quarter of this year to $363,700, with all four regions of the country experiencing double-digit price growth. In new construction, builder confidence increased in November, surpassing analyst expectations and rising to 83 on the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), the highest level since spring, despite persistent labor and supply chain challenges and a shortage of available lots.

The Northwestern Vermont Board of REALTORS® (NVBR) has released its market statistics for September 2021. The information is derived from data contained in the New England Real Estate Network and covers Chittenden, Franklin and Grand Isle Counties.

Nationwide, existing home sales were down slightly in August, falling 2% after two consecutive months of increases, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. The decline in existing home sales coincides with rising sales prices, which have continued to soar into fall, with the median sales price of existing homes up 14.9% compared to last year. Declining affordability has had a significant impact on homebuyers, many of whom have been priced out of the market and are choosing to wait for sales prices to ease before resuming their home search.

New Listings decreased 10.4 percent for single-family homes and 10.4 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Pending Sales increased 0.4 percent for single-family homes but decreased 11.3 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Inventory decreased 40.5 percent for single-family homes and 47.7 percent for townhouse-condo properties.

The Median Sales Price was up 15.7 percent to $395,000 for single-family homes and 0.5 percent to $284,050 for townhouse-condo properties. Days on Market decreased 35.6 percent for single-family homes and 33.3 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Months Supply of Inventory decreased 41.7 percent for single-family homes and 46.2 percent for townhouse-condo properties.

There are signs the market may be shifting, however. New listings have continued to hit the market, bucking seasonality trends commonly seen in the fall, a time when listing and sales activity typically slows as children return to school. As inventory increases, competition for homes may soften, and could even bring a moderation in sales prices, which, after 114 months of year-over-year gains, would be music to the ears of homebuyers throughout the country.

If you have questions about the real estate market please contact us at (802) 372-5777 or request a complimentary market analysis today.

The Northwestern Vermont Board of REALTORS® (NVBR) has released its market statistics for August 2021. The information is derived from data contained in the New England Real Estate Network and covers Chittenden, Franklin and Grand Isle Counties.

The booming U.S. housing market has spilled over to the rental market, which has seen demand for apartment and single-family rentals skyrocket this year, as high sales prices and an inadequate supply of available housing have forced many prospective buyers to rent for the foreseeable future. Increased demand for housing, along with an improving economy, has competition for rental units soaring, and landlords are taking note, with the national median rent increasing 11.4% in 2021 so far, according to Apartment List.

New Listings decreased 21.7 percent for single-family homes and 15.2 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Pending Sales decreased 4.5 percent for single-family homes and 16.1 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Inventory decreased 37.3 percent for single-family homes and 36.5 percent for townhouse-condo properties.

The Median Sales Price was up 23.4 percent to $412,000 for single-family homes and 1.6 percent to $249,000 for townhouse-condo properties. Days on Market decreased 57.1 percent for single-family homes and 31.4 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Months Supply of Inventory decreased 42.3 percent for single-family homes and 38.5 percent for townhouse-condo properties.

In new construction, home builders continue to struggle to meet buyer demand, as housing starts nationwide dropped 7% last month, according to the Commerce Department. Single-family home construction declined 4.5%, and multi-family home construction, which includes condos and apartment buildings, was also down, falling by 13%. Labor shortages, rising material costs, and supply-chain setbacks continue to challenge builders, with some projects temporarily paused due to availability and cost of materials.

If you have questions about the real estate market please contact us at (802) 372-5777.

See the latest real estate market report for Northwestern Vermont presented by NVBR below.

April was another strong month for home sales. The busy spring market continues to see many multiple offer situations driving sales prices above asking price. With such strong activity, by the time a property sale closes, the market may have already moved higher than that sold price suggests. Such markets can create stress and frustration for prospective homebuyers, who are frequently having to submit offers on multiple properties before they are able to secure a purchase.

New Listings increased 102.3 percent for single-family homes and 77.6 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Pending Sales increased 128.7 percent for single-family homes and 81.1 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Inventory decreased 54.9 percent for single-family homes and 49.6 percent for townhouse-condo properties.

The Median Sales Price was up 10.8 percent to $355,000 for single-family homes and 18.4 percent to $279,500 for townhouse-condo properties. Days on Market decreased 19.7 percent for single-family homes and 16.1 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Months Supply of Inventory decreased 62.1 percent for single-family homes and 57.1 percent for townhouse-condo properties.

In the spirit of the great Wayne Gretzky, buyers, sellers, and their agents are all trying their best to skate to where the puck, or rather, the housing market, is going, not where it has been. While housing affordability remains an area to watch as prices continue to rise, strong buyer demand and limited housing supply show no signs of easing soon, pointing to a continuation of this market trend through spring and into summer.

Wondering what the current market is like in your area? Call (802) 372-5777 and get a complimentary market analysis from a local expert. 

Source: Northwestern Vermont Board of Realtors